Will one of the candidates of Madagascar's presidential election gain more over 50% of votes in the first round?

Madagascar’s presidential election on Wednesday has been described as critical for the Indian Ocean island nation that has been rocked by a political crisis since April.
With 35 candidates vying to unseat incumbent president, Hery Rajaonarimampianina, the stakes are further raised by the fact that three ex-presidents and three former prime ministers are also on the ballot.
November 7’s election is the tenth presidential poll in Madagascar since 1965, and the second since the 2009 coup that isolated the country from the international community.
The ex-presidents are Marc Ravalomanana (2002-2009), Andry Rajoelina (2009-2013) and Didier Ratsiraka (1975-1993 and 1997-2002).
President Rajaonarimampianina and his two predecessors are the front-runners in the presidential race, according to observers.
The survey, commissioned by the German Friedrich Ebert Foundation, gave Rajoelina 25% of votes, Ravalomanana 17% and 4% for Rajaonarimampianina.
To secure an outright victory in the presidential election, a candidate needs to secure an absolute majority (50% plus one vote) in the first round.
A run-off vote has been scheduled for December 19, in case none of the candidates secures a first round win.
Source: Africanews



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